Blogs

Climate Change and Hail

U.S. Hail in 2023

Europe storm outlook 2022/23

The rising storm risk in Europe

Part 1: past variations

The rising storm risk in Europe

Part 2: future variations

How does a warming planet impact hail risk in U.S. and Europe?

A new high quality hail record is used to calibrate a model, and uncovers significant upward trends over the past 60 years.  

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How does the very high U.S. hail losses in 2023 compare to the past few decades of experience? 

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What's the outlook for European windstorm activity this winter? A large body of research is distilled into a forecast of storm damage for winter 2022/23. 

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This blog gives a fuller picture of European storminess from 1950 to the present-day.

It finds our storm climate has been rising recently, but we don't understand why.

A re-framing of mid-latitude wind as a polewards heat gradient could be the key to unlocking potential for better risk pricing. 

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The polewards heat gradient model helps understand variations in decadal-mean European storminess.

The model reveals multidecadal cycles in two major ocean regions explain the recent upturn in European storminess.

The oceans will continue forcing greater storminess  through the 2020s. 

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