Climate Change and Hail
U.S. Hail in 2023
Europe storm outlook 2022/23
The rising storm risk in Europe
Part 1: past variations
The rising storm risk in Europe
Part 2: future variations
How does a warming planet impact hail risk in U.S. and Europe?
A new high quality hail record is used to calibrate a model, and uncovers significant upward trends over the past 60 years.
How does the very high U.S. hail losses in 2023 compare to the past few decades of experience?
What's the outlook for European windstorm activity this winter? A large body of research is distilled into a forecast of storm damage for winter 2022/23.
This blog gives a fuller picture of European storminess from 1950 to the present-day.
It finds our storm climate has been rising recently, but we don't understand why.
A re-framing of mid-latitude wind as a polewards heat gradient could be the key to unlocking potential for better risk pricing.
The polewards heat gradient model helps understand variations in decadal-mean European storminess.
The model reveals multidecadal cycles in two major ocean regions explain the recent upturn in European storminess.
The oceans will continue forcing greater storminess through the 2020s.
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